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Archive for January, 2006

SotU Thoughts

As I’m watching the opening of the State of the Union address I can’t help but think, “how much fun would it be to be a Republican right now!?”  In all seriousness, they hold the Senate, the House, the Presidency, and the Supreme Court: Executive, Legislative, and Judicial–that’s a hat trick!  That’s a pretty unique time for any political party and I’d be having a great time gloating if it were my party.

More thoughts as this thing goes on:

Cut the deficit in half by 2009?  Well, he’s done such a good job so far…

Pass the line item veto!?…  aww crap

The applause for not saving social security was funny

I like the new sources of energy and reinvestment in “American competitiveness” rhetoric, hopefully there are plans to back up both… we really do need to gain back our lead in math and science

No Child Left Behind is and always has been an underfunded disaster

End of Year Senate Fundraising Analysis

All the numbers are out, which means the fun can begin!  Here are the year end numbers for the Senate candidates:

KENNEDY:

$3.65 Million for the year

$2.65 Million in the bank

$1.5 Million in the 4th Quarter

KLOBUCHAR:

$2.5 Million for the year

$1.7 Million in the bank

$700,000 in the 4th Quarter

BELL:

$466,000 for the year

$237,000 in the bank

$231,000 in the 4th Quarter

Alright, what do these numbers mean.  First of all, this is going to be a big dollar race, for better or worse, that’s what we’re looking at and we’ve all known that from the start.  Continuing with the obvious, Kennedy has raised more money, plain and simple.  But let’s get back to that.

Fordbell LargeFirst, let’s look at Ford Bell and how he’s doing.  The good news for Bell is that this quarter was a marked increase from the last two quarters.  The bad news is that it’s not good enough.  Everyone who reads this feel free to cry about my commentary in the comment line, but come on, this was supposed to be Bell’s quarter.  Every Bell supporter was chanting the slogan “wait for the 4Q numbers” and I’m looking at them, but I’m not impressed.  Wetterling was almost a non-issue this quarter (even though she dropped late in the quarter, she was not very active at any point) and Bell still just barely beat the numbers Wetterling posted in the 3rd Quarter.  And as much of an improvement this might be for Bell, $231K is less than 1/10th of what Kennedy has in the bank.  Fundraising clearly isn’t everything, it’s not even close to the most important attribute in a candidate, but like I said, for better or for worse, this is going to be a big dollar race and Bell’s falling behind.

 Cgi-Data Photo Files 6 1-1Now onto Kennedy/Klobuchar.  Like I said, Kennedy’s ahead.  But this isn’t the whole story.  My conservative counterparts in the blogosphere would like you to believe that being a member of the majority party, being without competition within your party, having the default backing of conservative America, and having the President personally come help you out isn’t much of an advantage.  Sorry guys, these things matter, and they matter a lot.  President Bush came to Minnesota and handed Mark Kennedy $1 million dollars for voting with him 95% of the time, this was a reward.  Does it count?  Of course, it’s in the bank, it’s a real issue.  But it must be considered that Klobuchar managed to raise 200K more when that element is removed from the calculus.  Why is this important?  Well, because the Bush event was a given, and Klobuchar does not have that advantage right now.  So, outside of that significant advantage she managed to best Kennedy despite facing division in her own party!  I think that’s a very big deal.

When all the DFL Senate money is put into one big pile it amounts to more than Kennedy managed to raise even with the Bush fundraiser.  And Klobuchar can lay claim to a vast majority of that pile.  Taking into account how the deck is stacked against the DFL candidates right now, I couldn’t be happier.

Now that I’m sure I’ve raised enough points for both the left and right to bash me on, take to the comments!

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Bell Raises $231,000

Ford Bell’s numbers are out:

A second DFL candidate, Ford Bell, raised $231,000 in the fourth quarter and $466,000 for the year. He had $237,000 in the bank as of Dec. 31. [AP]

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Breaking: Klobuchar has best quarter yet!!!

Amy Klobuchar raised $700,000 in the 4th quarter of 2005, bringing her total raised to $2.5 million in 2005 with more than $1.7 million cash on hand.

Republicans will crow about how Mark Kennedy raised more than Amy, but lets remember that Kennedy had the advantage of a George Bush fundraiser which reportedly raised $1 million. Take that money out of Kennedy’s total and Amy actually raised MORE money than Kennedy in the 4th Quarter.

Besides, in this political environment, tying Mark Kennedy to George Bush is worth a million dollars!

More analysis later…

What is Ciresi Up To Now?

From today’s Hotline:

Despite rumors that ‘00 candidate/atty. Mike Ciresi (D) could enter the race as early as today, his office stated this a.m. he is currently out of town, will be back briefly tonight, and then will leave again 2/1 for the remainder of the week, making any sort of political announcement this week very unlikely.

I don’t know what Ciresi is planning, but this is starting to become absurd.

Time to fish or cut bait, Mr. Ciresi. I’m personally very tired of this little game you’re playing with the DFL faithful.

Coleman Edits Wikipedia Entry

This is pretty hilarious: Coleman staff makes changes to Web encyclopedia bio

Essentially, Norm Coleman’s staff has been actively editing his entry in the online encyclopedia, Wikipedia, in order to make it more favorable.  But read the article, it is very amusing. (hat tip to the always wonderful Minvolved)

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Pass the Blaim Around

I just hate it when the DFL “blaims” people…

(the worst part is that MDE’s fact checking is even worse than their spell checking)

Wetterling/Hatch Ticket a No Go

2Wetterling1010.LWell, it’s official, Patty Wetterling has rejected Mike Hatch’s Lt. Governor offer and is now “considering” a run in the 6th district:

Children’s safety advocate Patty Wetterling has turned down Attorney General Mike Hatch’s offer to be his running mate on the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party ticket next fall.

But Wetterling is still considering running for Congress.

Wetterling was not available for comment Monday, but her campaign spokeswoman, Carol Butler, confirmed that the former U.S. Senate candidate had told Hatch she would not be his running mate.

“She is considering Congress,” Butler said, and Wetterling will make an announcement about her political future soon. [Source: Pioneer Press]

Although I would have been ecstatic to hear this about a month or so ago, at this point I’m pretty neutral.  First of all, let me say that whoever is advising Patty really needs to check in with reality.  I’ll support Patty in the 6th, there’s little doubt about that, but talk about burning bridges!  El Tinklenberg is going to be very upset, the 6th is going to be contested on the DFL side, and Patty’s been spending a little under a year traveling the state and telling everyone that she can’t win in the 6th… sheesh! 

And then on top of that whole mess you have to wonder what the heck Hatch was thinking when he made this offer so public if he wasn’t sure of Patty’s approval!?  I mean, I had a contact tell me that right before Patty made her announcement dropping from the Senate race she had to call the DFL headquarters to get the number for Hatch’s people… what was Hatch thinking?

Bottom line: If Wetterling wants to go to the 6th, I’m not ready to give up on El, but I’ll certainly give her a fair chance.  It’s just this whole episode smacks of poor planning.

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EXCLUSIVE: Bush to visit 3M on Thursday

As many of you probably know by now, President Bush is making another visit to Minnesota but what you probably don’t know is that one of his stopping points will be 3M headquarters.  The event is purportedly taking place on Thursday around noon with only selected 3M employees in attendance.  A venue for a “town-meeting” on the state of the economy?  Well, who knows.  More to come as we hear it.

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A Question:

Can we all agree that having a primary in September is ridiculously late?  Even if every DFLer in the blogosphere has registered their opinion one way or the other as to the merits of a contested DFL primary, can’t we all conclude that having the primary September 12th is a key problem?  But if someone wants to present an argument as to why bruising each other up for (usually) 12 months only to run against our opponent for a month is a good plan, by all means, post a comment!

Kennedy Brings in $1,529,461 in 4Q

 Cgi-Data Photo Files 6 1-1From Kennedy’s site:

St. Paul, Minnesota, Jan 30 - Mark Kennedy’s U.S. Senate campaign raised over $3.65 million in 2005. Kennedy raised $1,529,461 in the 4th quarter alone and ended the year with over $2.65 million cash on hand.

Kennedy was heard to remark: “Thanks Boss!”–Kennedy’s Bush event alone brought in over $1 million for his campaign.  Without Dubya’s help, Kennedy would have brought in around $500K at the most.  As Bell and Klobuchar’s numbers should be released shortly, the real analysis will follow those announcements.  As a brief preview, I will be most interested to see how Klobuchar stacks up against Kennedy in cash on hand (keeping in mind the $1mil Kennedy got from Bush) and how Bell’s Q4 number stacks up against Kennedy and Klobuchar’s Q4 number (because Bell is at an inherent cash on hand disadvantage). (hat-tip to DFL Senate)

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MN Publius Exclusive: RM Exaggerates

Perhaps I’m a little off base here, but when your source is the Associated Press, calling your post an “exclusive” might be a little much.

Amy Says No to Marriage Amendment

KvM is reporting that Amy has voiced her opinion on a marriage amendment:

“I do not support a constitutional amendment to ban same-sex marriage and the legal equivalent.  Such an amendment would ban civil unions, which I do not oppose.  In addition, the amendment is unnecessary, since we already have a law on the books that defines marriage.” [StoneWall DFL]

I assumed that this was a given, but I applaud her stance.  This is a kind of moral absolute for me personally; if any candidate feels that gays should not be allowed equality in the eyes of the law, then they do not get my vote. 

It still is confusing to me why civil unions are viewed by the right as so controversial.  Although I may disagree, I understand the argument that marriage is a union with broad implications within a traditional religious social structure, and as such, should not be impinged upon by a government definition, but a civil union is merely the recognition that the law sees all people as equals.  Let the church have marriage and the government have unions.  It seems to me that the necessity of a secular government’s acknowledgment of a religious sacrament cheapens religiosity of that event, why then codify it within the law of the secular world?  Why not respect the same separation of church and state that maintains the dignity of all other religious events?

And, in an incongruous attempt to insert a favorite quote, as St. Thomas Aquinas said in his work Summa Theologica, “To disparage the dictate of reason is to condemn the command of God.”

This is a subject I could write on for quite some time, so forgive the abbreviated nature of my above argument.

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Excuse Me

While I study for a test tomorrow.  If there’s big news I’ll report it, but otherwise look for regular posting to continue tomorrow.

Anyone Surprised?

Thought not.

but it’s just a theory, right?





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