Last month, I questioned the accuracy of a SurveyUSA poll measuring Norm Coleman’s approval rating because it claimed that Norm had a 64% approval rating in Northeastern Minnesota. I said:
For anyone who knows anything about Minnesota politics, that should be a warning sign. There is absolutely no chance that 64% of Minnesotans on the Range and in Duluth approve of Coleman’s performance. My guess is that this number will drop next month by 15-20 points, which would drop Coleman back to about a 45-48% approval statewide
SurveyUSA just released their latest numbers and what do you know: Norm’s approval rating in Northeastern Minnesota is down to 46%, an 18 point drop.
The second half of my prediction didn’t come true because this poll put less weight on the Northeastern Minnesota sample and more weight on the Western Minnesota sample (where Norm gained support) and because Norm increased his approval in the Twin Cities area (which accounts for 58% of the total poll) by 3%.
Meanwhile, Minnesotans still like Amy better than Norm. Her approval rating is at 60%.
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