Rasmussen has their latest Presidential poll of Minnesota:
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Minnesota the state shows that Barack Obama leads McCain by double-digits, 52% to 39%. That’s the third straight month with virtually identical poll results. A month ago, Obama led 53% to 38%.
In four of the last five polls, Obama has enjoyed a 13 to 15 point lead. The one exception came in mid-March when McCain pulled to within four points of Obama. That poll was conducted two weeks after McCain wrapped up the GOP nomination and a few days after the first round of stories about Obama’s controversial former pastor, Jeremiah Wright.
Its going to be a tough fall for Minnesota Republicans. Poll after poll shows Obama way out in front of McCain, which means the RNC and the McCain campaign might not spend money in Minnesota. With the NRSC and the NRCC both broke, there is a very real possibility that there will be no national money in support of Minnesota Republicans this fall. In fact, I think the happiest person in Minnesota today has got to be Ashwin Madia. Madia is running in one of the wealthiest and most educated districts in the country. Its a district tailor made for Obama. With no national money coming into Minnesota, Obama’s coattails in the third could be significant.
We’ve updated both the Senate and Presidential numbers in Minnesota Polling Report.
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Heh-
Because of the NRCC embezzelment scandal, the NRCC is now required to hire an independent contractor to do an audit of the 2007 books. The NRCC is unable to borrow money until the audit is complete.
McCain may not be able to invest in NC either, now that he’s only 2% ahead of Obama there. Zing!
“With no national money coming into Minnesota, Obama’s coattails in the third could be significant.”
??? — There is an abundance of non-Minnesota money pouring into the race in the 3rd.
Dantheman -
Read my post again. I was talking about money from the RNC, the NRSC and the NRCC.
Gotcha. Makes sense.
There will also be the effect of people in the 3rd feeling since the Presidential race is not competitive here, their monies should go to local races. I think Norm will be the biggest beneficiary of that, but CD candidates will too.
No doubt, Madia has become the favorite in this race. He has Obama’s coattails, better early exposure due to the nomination process, and I think the local media will give him some free press (imagine someone like Sturdevant writing a glowing column on a long-time GOP’er like Paulsen).
Erik has his work cut out for him. The best thing that could happen to him is Pawlenty being the Veep for McCain. Lots of MN Republicans would get out to vote for a familiar face like TPaw.
I dunno if that many Republicans would come out to vote for a familiar face, they certaintly didnt in 2006, or did just enough to win but enough to overcome any of the challenges in 2008.
This makes me damn excited. As a college student, I’ve only seen the Bush elections where Minnesota barely goes blue. It was only until Wikipedia that I realized Minnesota has voted pretty decisively blue in many other elections, as we will this one.
In my opinion, these recent polls really hurt the chance of Pawlenty taking the VP spot. With margins this wide, I could see the McCain camp looking at Minnesota and seeing it as a loss no matter what.
Dan - I have been posting here as Dan (and also choo choo Dan) for a long time, so can you pick another user name? DantheMan is taken too.
That being said, I agree with your comment.
My bad. Hopefully this one is okay.
Perfect. Its my fault for picking such an unoriginal screen name. I only go by choo choo Dan when we have light rail discussions.
It is too early for the polls to mean anything. The Republican racist smear machine is still alive and well. Carl Rove is not likely to be convicted of high treason for betraying the identity of an undercover agent in time of war. Bush may well make war on Iran or engineer another act of domestic terrorism to help McCain.