Quinnipiac put out a poll yesterday that showed Barack Obama leading John McCain in Minnesota by only two points. This after the same pollster reported a 17 point Obama lead in June. I’m not sure what could possible explain such a dramatic Obama collapse, and niether is Quinnipiac. In fact, the very pollster who administered the poll was downplaying its results in an AP article:
The poll of likely Minnesota voters conducted by Quinnipiac University has Obama up 46 to 44. It’s within the survey’s margin of sampling error, meaning the race is considered about even. Last month, the same pollsters put Obama 17-percentage points ahead of McCain.
Clay Richards, the assistant director of the Connecticut university’s polling institute, said the Obama slide probably isn’t as dramatic as the raw numbers reflect. Still, Richards said McCain is clearly stronger in the state than he was in June.
You know a poll isn’t credible if the pollster himself won’t stand behind the results.
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Zack: How come every time a poll shows results that you don’t like, you try to explain it away as a bad poll? Your argument is really getting tired and old.
I think the poll reflects the fact that Minnesotans are growing tired of the press and folks like you telling them that Obama is basically Jesus Christ. The more they get to know who he really is, the less they like him. That’s becoming very obvious.
As far as Franken goes, it’s clear Minnesotans know the guy is a jackass prick who simply does not have the temperament to get anything done in Washington, DC. You can’t work with people and get things done if you literally hate them, like Al does Republicans. This race might be over.
Anyone else find it funny that while republicans talk about how bad sex jokes are, they have no problem remaining as deviants?
To wit: Tim Pawlenty’s former press secretary was popped for trying to get a hooker in Frogtown in the middle of the afternoon yesterday. http://www.startribune.com/local/25880574.html?location_refer=Homepage:latestNews:4
Jeff-
Good luck with that. This poll is clearly an outlier.
As far as Franken…how do you expect his positive/negative to be so much better than Coleman.
The republican brand is on fire, the wheels have come off, and it is screaming over a cliff.
lojasmo:
Yep, first the Survey USA poll was an outlier, and now the Quinnipiac poll is too. I’m beginning to see a trend…
We stand by our numbers. Because of the margin of error the swing to McCain may not be the precise number shown in the poll, but the poll shows that there had been a significant increase in his support in Minnesota in the last month and that is what I said. Clay Richards
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_alan_i_abramowitz/the_myth_of_a_toss_up_election
Check out the article at the link above.
I think that McCain is probably down by about 9 and will probably lose by about as much!
Zack: Ouch! I think Mr. Richards just bitch-slapped you.
Hmmm - the 17 point lead from the poll a month ago seems like the outlier……………
Deviants, eh, Jauquin,? Stain on a blue dress, anyone?
Jeff: Clearly the poll is anoutlier and should be ignored.