Monthly Archive for May, 2009

Page 2 of 6

Will honest credit card practices make your rate go up?

As usual, conservatives and private market advocates are predicting DISASTER from the passage of the Credit Cardholders’ Bill of Rights. Also as usual, they predict that the disaster will be “deadbeats” getting a break, while hardworking folks with good credit will get hurt:

“There will be one-size-fits-all pricing, and as a result, you’ll see the industry will be more egalitarian in terms of its revenue base,” said David Robertson, publisher of the Nilson Report, which tracks the credit card business.

Credit card pricing is largely based on credit ratings; consumers with the best credit scores get good rates, while consumers with lower scores get higher rates. Conservatives’ argument is that the bill of rights will end this practice, thus penalizing those with good credit. There’s only one problem with the argument: This bill does not affect risk-based pricing at all. In fact, there were no maximum rates imposed by the bill at all. Whether you consider that a good or bad thing, it’s the simple truth.

In fact, the changes that would be made under the finalized bill could be described as simple fairness and common decency. The Wall Street Journal summarizes:

More »

Will we ever have a responsible budget?

It’s been a long time now since we’ve had a truly responsible budget that provides fiscal stability for the long term. That’s not just Tim Pawlenty’s fault — the entire legislature needs to be held responsible for that as well.

The long-term situation is relatively simple: as you may have noticed, we are perpetually spending more than we are making in revenue, leading to deficits every single biennium. Even in the last biennium, when there was a $2 billion “surplus,” it was mostly just a fluke due to one-time money. Every year, we’re spending too much, while bringing in too little revenue.

The situation will only get worse. As our population ages, the cost of social services will rise, while the number of Minnesotans contributing to the tax rolls will decline. Since our structural budget problems will only get worse, we need a permanent solution — not more budget gimmicks.

The solution is just as easy to understand as the problem. There are just three easy steps:

More »

SurveyUSA Polls the MN Gov Race

SurveyUSA and KSTP have released a poll on the 2010 Minnesota Gubernatorial race.  Let’s get right to the numbers:

Pawlenty - 51%
Kelliher - 34%

Pawlenty - 48%
Coleman - 37%

Pawlenty - 48%
Rybak - 42%

Pawlenty - 51%
Thissen - 32%

Pawlenty - 47%
Dayton - 43%

Pawlenty - 50%
Gaertner - 36%

Pawlenty - 51%
Marty - 34%

Pawlenty - 52%
Bakk - 34%

Pawlenty - 51%
Entenza - 37%

That’s a lot of numbers.  The results from the Dayton, Rybak and Coleman trial heats show that Pawlenty would be vulnerable in seeking a 3rd term as he falls below 50% against a well known challenger. I think name recognition controls all the other results.

By the way, I hope no one pollutes the comments section by trying to argue that this poll shows one DFL candidate would be a stronger nominee than another.  Its just way too early for polling data to be instructive on a question like that, especially when you consider that Pawlently’s percentage only deviates 5% between his worst performace and his best.

One last side note, I am glad KSTP commissioned this poll, but couldn’t they have tossed in a couple of alternate Republican candidates?  I put the odds of T-Paw seeking a third term at less than 20% and I would have really liked to see polling on a Rybak - Ramstad match up, or Kelliher - Sullivan (which, given the low levels of name recognition of those two, would effectivley be a generic Dem vs. a generic GOPer).

Adam Lambert Was Robbed

But on the upside, he got to sing with KISS while Kris Allen had to sing with Keith Urban…maybe that makes up for it.

Thoughts On The End Of The Session

Jeff has written quite a bit about the end of the legislative session, but I wanted to add my own thoughts.

The Governor took a big risk by ending the session the way he did. You can judge the decision on two levels: politics and policy. I’m going to spend my time on the former, because my thoughts on the latter are pretty predictable.

More »

National Republicans Pouring More Money Into Coleman

In the wake of the $6 million each that both Coleman and Franken have dumped into the state-wide recount and Norm Coleman’s contest, Franken still owes over $1.3 million. (Yes, Coleman owes Franken at least $161,510.63 of that.)

Meanwhile, national Republicans just threw $750,000 at Coleman’s legal bills to keep Minnesotans with a single Senator. One would think national Democrats would be able to at least match that to help get our representation in DC, right?

Blame Pawlenty — the legislature did its job

Tim Pawlenty will doubtless be putting in overtime for the next week or so trying to lay blame on the DFL legislature for the catastrophic cuts he will be forcing on Minnesotans. But the reality is that the legislature did its job, and did it both on time and on budget. Let’s recap:

  1. The DFL passes a revenue bill that would raise $1 billion in taxes to balance the budget.
  2. The DFL passes spending bills that cut billions of dollars to balance the budget.
  3. Pawlenty vetoes the revenue bill.
  4. Pawlenty signs the spending bills.
  5. Pawlenty furiously accuses the DFL of sending him spending bills without a way to pay for them.

Pawlenty’s complaints are completely disingenuous. The DFL sent him a balanced budget until he vetoed the new revenues we needed to balance the budget fairly. That’s his constitutional prerogative, but with his veto, he loses the right to blame the legislature. He is the sole reason we will be seeing an additional $1 billion in cuts this year. He made his decision, and he needs to be held responsible for the consequences.

Silly Republicans

Michael Steele has a recipe for Republican success…

Steele will insist that the future of the GOP lies not in looking back but in pushing forward — using the tried and true example of conservative icon Ronald Reagan.

“Ronald Reagan never lived in the past,” Steele will say. “Ronald Reagan was all about the future. If President Reagan were here today he would have no patience for Americans who looked backward.”

So Steele wants Republicans to stop living in the past, and to make his point he focuses on a guy who hasn’t been President for twenty years and has been dead for five years. Way to go Michael.

Are the poor just lazy?

NOTE: This is an edited version of a post I originally wrote last year, before I began writing for MNpublius.

With the session officially over, Tim Pawlenty will make good on his decision to once again balance the budget on the backs of the poor with massive cuts in government services, including health and human services. The decision to punish the poor, while refusing to ask the rich for equal sacrifices, is always popular with Pawlenty’s hardcore-right-wing base, although not with Minnesotans or even many conservatives.

The impetus for Pawlenty’s decision is a simple value judgment: The rich are the pillar of our society and should not be burdened, while the poor are lazy freeloaders. Pawlenty and his right-wing allies argue that it makes no sense at all to “punish” the hard workers and “reward” the lazy poor. This black-and-white view of the world no doubt makes it easier for the conservatives to feel self-righteous about their policies, but of it just doesn’t represent reality.

Are there some lazy poor people? I’m sure there are, just as there are some lazy rich people as well. But just as not all of the rich are industrious, hardworking entrepreneurs (though most are), not all of the poor are simply lazy — most of them work harder than you could imagine. The trouble is, equally-ambitious rich and poor people are not on an even playing field. The poor are always just one minor incident away from losing everything.

The middle-class mindset of “personal responsibility” tells us that success is about nothing but hard work. Hard work is crucial, but when you start with nothing, it’s not enough. You also need luck. You need your kids not to get sick, your car to not break down, etc. When you’re living paycheck-to-paycheck, any small problem can derail your plans and cancel out years of hard-fought upward mobility. Most of us in the middle class don’t think about that, because we’re used to having a significant cushion. We don’t need to rely on luck, because we have some room for error.

The question, then, is not about who’s a hard worker and who’s lazy. What we should really be talking about is: If we believe in social mobility, shouldn’t we work to make sure the poor have the same opportunities to succeed as the middle class? We love to talk about “pulling yourself up by your bootstraps,” but as Al Franken likes to say, some people don’t even have the boots.

It’s too easy to just claim that all poor people are lazy, and that you don’t want to “waste your hard-earned money” helping them. The fact is, many of us in the middle- and upper class have had a better jumping-off point for our success; we still had to work hard, but there was room for a mistake or a bit of bad luck. And that’s exactly why we pay higher taxes: we owe our success at least partially to our starting position in life, but we believe in the American Dream and we want everyone to have the same opportunities.

Ventura Bodyslams Hasselbeck

I have never been a big fan of Jesse Ventura, but the common conception of him as a dumb ox is totally off base.  Say what you will about Ventura, but he’s no dummy.  Watch how he repeatedly just takes apart Elizabeth Hasselbeck on “The View” yesterday.  Its actually a really impressive performance on his part.  Hasselbeck is simply out of her league.

H/T Blue Man

An August Primary

The Legislature passed an election reform bill yesterday:

An elections bill would move the state’s primary elections from September to early August, which proponents say should give more time for voters to compare their general election choices and return absentee ballots if they live overseas.

An attempt to allow no-excuse early voting was removed from the bill, but there were other absentee ballot law changes crafted in response to the state’s lengthy 2008 Senate race. Local election officials would have to make extra efforts to contact voters whose ballots are rejected and give them the option of casting a new one.

The Senate passed it 44-20; the House vote was 85-49.

Pawlenty hasn’t said what he’ll do with the bill; his fellow Republicans wanted a requirement that voters show photo identification at the polls.

Looks like most of the really meaningful reform was removed from the bill in an attempt to avoid Pawlenty’s veto, but the bill does move our primary election up by a month. Long time readers of this blog know that we are big fans of an earlier primary. Having a September primary increases the cost of contested primary elections and magnifies the importance of the DFL/MN GOP endorsement. August isn’t as early as I would like, but its way better than September. Here’s hoping the Governor signs this legislation.

The Pawlenty shutdown

Tim Pawlenty said there would be no special session and no government shutdown. But what he meant was that there would be no official shutdown. Under his slice-and-dice plan, our government will slowly stop functioning. Hospitals will shut down or begin refusing service. Schools will go without billions of dollars are funds are “shifted” away from them. Cities and counties will raise property taxes and curtail most services.

Pawlenty could have avoided this by accepting the Legislature’s plan to pay for the funding he will now slash. But instead, he opted for his standard “compromise” — taking everything he wants, and giving up nothing in return.

But if Pawlenty and the Republicans want to have everything their way, they will need to deal with the consequences. The DFL presented a balanced budget and attempted to negotiate in good faith. Because Pawlenty refused to compromise in any way, the consequences over the next two years should be laid at his feet. Minnesotans need to know that Pawlenty and the GOP are responsible for the coming government shutdown.

Rep. Lenczewski: Cuts are no better than taxes

I agree wholeheartedly with Rep. Ann Lenczewski’s take on taxes and cuts. There’s a perception that tax increases are harmful, while cuts have no impact — they simply eliminate “waste.” The fact is that state spending isn’t just throwing money down the toilet; it actually goes to pay for operating state programs. Eliminating funding for these programs has major impacts, such as eliminating health coverage for thousands and thousands of Minnesotans.

One reason for crafting policies that strike a balance between spending cuts and tax increases is that, as Lenczewski says, spending cuts often have a disproportionate impact on the poor, while tax increases can be more targeted. Adding tax increases to the mix spreads the sacrifices more evenly — it’s hard to make an argument that we should balance the budget solely based on sacrifices by the poor.

The problem with the line-item veto

Many fiscal conservatives and budget hawks advocate for giving the President the line-item veto, which would allow him to hold the line on spending by eliminating individual items in spending bills. The line-item veto is a power held by most governors in the United States, and proponents argue that the President should have similar powers. But the line-item veto is a terrible idea which turns the separation of powers on its head.

I had been thinking of writing about this anyway, and Tim Pawlenty’s recent power grab here in Minnesota — made possible by the liberal use of his line-item veto — has made this a timely subject. Pawlenty’s use of the line-item veto has turned him into a legislator. Rather than simply signing or returning the bills passed by the legislature, he will craft entirely different policies by removing items he doesn’t like from the legislature’s spending bills.

This is a power above and beyond what the governor should have. Specifically, it is a legislative power held by the head of the executive branch. The line-item veto was adopted in Minnesota over a century ago, by a constitutional amendment in 1876, but it remains a mistake that gives the governor too much power.

More »

Notes on the Session

Did you know that at the end of session, the legislators blare “school’s out for the summer” in the chambers, do a choreographed dance down the center isle and have an air guitar competition?  I hear that Ron Erhardt used to win handily.

Here are some letters to the editor that perhaps you are interested in reading.  Let’s try not to compete with the Star Tribune for the title of Most Annoying Comments Made on the Internet, please.