I got your “fake stat” right here

In yesterday’s post about a new Vikings stadium, more than one commenter accused me of making up numbers. For instance, frequent commenter Jack Handy:

Jeff - please stop repeating the 7.3 billion dollar deficit myth. The projected deficit is 4.4 billion.

Well jeez, Jack, I’m not making this number up. I took it from a Senate fiscal analysis. You can find it here, and I’ll post a small screenshot of the numbers in question below.

http://www.politicsinminnesota.com/files/LAC_GovUnallot_June09a.pdf

Yes, the 7.3 billion dollar figure assumes that GAMC would be restored. After Pawlenty unalloted it, the program remains in law, and it’s certainly possible it could be restored. And if it’s not? Then the deficit would only be a measly $6.4 billion, after accounting for inflation. You may not want to account for inflation, Jack, but inflation happens. I would think we’d want to be prepared for it.

[By the way, even if we ignored inflation, where the heck do you get $4.4 billion??]

But quibbling over the exact numbers isn’t even the point. The point is that we are going to have a massive deficit to deal with. In this biennium, despite a $6.4 billion deficit, after one-time money we “only” had to deal with finding $2.1 billion. Even if we took Jack’s bogus figure of $4.4 billion, we’d have to find more than twice as much money in savings or revenue in the next biennium as we have in this biennium. Does anyone think this is going to be an easy task?

11 Responses to “I got your “fake stat” right here”


Leave a Reply