Monthly Archive for November, 2009

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What Were They Thinking?

The rest of the world probably thinks that the dumbest decision made in professional football this week was the New England Patriots going for it on fourth and two on their own 28.  I beg to differ.

Minnesota Vikings owners Zygi and Mark Wilf today said the team is breaking off relations with the Metropolitan Sports Facilities Commission until the commission loosens the purse strings in its Metrodome lease and helps it build a new stadium in downtown Minneapolis.

In a blistering letter sent this afternoon to Paul Thatcher, chairman of the commission’s Finance Committee, the Wilfs said they were “shocked, exasperated and extremely disappointed” by the committee’s proposal Tuesday to encourage the team to extend its Metrodome lease by two years.

The resolution, which will be on the full commission’s agenda Thursday, proposes awarding the team all post-season stadium revenues if they agree to a lease extension.

If the team refuses, the resolution proposes to start collecting $4 million a year from the Vikings — rent that it has forgiven the team since 2002 in an effort to help it stay competitive with better-positioned NFL teams.

Memo to the Sports Facilities Commission: you can’t negotiate if you don’t have leverage and the Vikings are holding all the cards. They have the country’s second largest media market and a brand new stadium waiting for them in L.A. There is ZERO chance that they will renew their lease and everybody knows it. So why on Earth would you attempt a stupid stunt like this? All you are going to do is push them into Ed Roski’s arms.

If anyone at the MSFC really thought that threatening the Vikings would persuade them to renew their lease, they should find a new line of work.  I am honestly just astounded at the sheer stupidity of this move.

Al Franken Asks You to Support Tarryl Clark

In an email sent out today, Senator Al Franken shows his support for Tarryl Clark’s bid for Congress by asking for donations to her campaign.  The email lauds Clark’s accomplishments and her strengths as a legislator and campaigner.  Senator Franken (I love saying that) could give Clark a big boost in this race, and an early start is a good indication of his intentions to help.

Full text of the email after the jump. More »

Rukavina on unallotment

Craig Stellmacher is asking gubernatorial candidates “what is the greatest threat to Minnesota?” in an excellent series posted to YouTube. Tom Rukavina, in his response, had some excellent comments on unallotment and Tim Pawlenty’s style of governance (or rather, his absenteeism).

MnIndy summarizes:

“It’s usurping the power of the legislature… Right now he’s actually writing laws,” he said. “I don’t know where’s he getting this authority, and nobody’s really taking him on.”

“Right now any governor — whether the governor is Tom Rukavina or Tim Pawlenty — can basically sign every spending bill and then decide to unallot,” he said.

This was my favorite line:

Right now, he’s borrowing against our kids’ future so he can have a political future.

Watch the whole thing (about 3 minutes) below:

Depressing link of the day

Noted economist Brad Delong:

For 2 1/4 years now I have been saying that there is no chance of a repeat of the Great Depression or anything like it — that we know what to do and how to do it and will do it if things turn south.

I don’t think I can say that anymore. In my estimation the chances of another big downward shock to the U.S. economy — a shock that would carry us from the 1/3-of-a-Great-Depression we have now to 2/3 or more — are about 5%. And it now looks very much as if if such a shock hits the U.S. government will be unable to do a d —  — - thing about it.

Ugh.

Let this serve as a quick reminder that the stakes right now are incredibly high. We can certainly have debates over how our government can best stabilize the economy, but there can be no question that the government must still be actively engaged in making sure another “shock” to the economy doesn’t happen.

Health insurance and “access to care” are the same thing in our system

A number of conservatives have made the case that the US has the best health care system in the world, even if it does not have the best access to the health care system. Similarly, they’ve claimed that all Americans have access to care through emergency rooms, which are legally required to treat all patients who come to them, insured or not.

But the fact is that the uninsured have worse health outcomes, even in our emergency rooms. A new study in the Archives of Surgery shows that even when we look at trauma patients — in other words, cases which have little to do with a patient’s underlying health — uninsured patients at the emergency room are about twice as likely to die.

ERchart

The fact is, even if the uninsured technically have some access to care via our emergency rooms, even that isn’t as effective for the uninsured as it is for the insured. In our system, if you don’t have health insurance, you don’t have access to quality care.

Is the NY-23 election being stolen???

No. It isn’t. But the accounts of the official tabulations certainly sound familiar, don’t they?

Conservative Doug Hoffman conceded the race in the 23rd Congressional District last week after receiving two pieces of grim news for his campaign: He was down 5,335 votes with 93 percent of the vote counted on election night…

Now a recanvassing in the 11-county district shows that Owens’ lead has narrowed to 3,026 votes over Hoffman, 66,698 to 63,672, according to the latest unofficial results from the state Board of Elections.

Outrageous! The fact that the numbers are moving in Hoffman’s favor during the standard process of recanvassing is clear evidence that the Republicans are stealing this election. Or, at least, that was the Republican party line during the Franken-Coleman recount a year ago. It’s funny that conservative partisans don’t seem to have a problem with the recanvassing process this time. In fact, they’re now encouraging Hoffman to “un-concede.” I guess it makes a big difference when the numbers are moving in the right direction.

Impressive accountability from the Obama administration

Before I get too far, let me admit that there are bound to be a number of inaccuracies in the jobs data posted at recovery.gov. Collecting real-time data on the impact of the stimulus, particularly when you are asking recipients to help with the reporting, is tricky business. I’m impressed, though, by the Obama administration’s efforts to clean up the data and keep its count as accurate as possible. Frankly, we’d never have seen an article like this during the Bush administration:

The Obama administration, under fire for inflating job growth from the $787 billion stimulus plan, slashed over 60,000 jobs from its most recent report on the program because the reporting outlets had submitted “unrealistic data,” according to a document obtained by ABC News.

The Office of Management and Budget document shows that before an Oct. 30 progress report on the program the administration asked the Recovery Accountability and Transparency Board to remove information from 12 stimulus recipients that contained “unrealistic data,” including “unrealistic job data.”

Is the data perfect? Of course not, but the Obama is doing an admirable job trying to clear up inaccurate data. The sheer level of data being made available to the public is incredible, too — just take a look at the map which breaks down every single award, including a brief description of the project. While America has always had a relatively open government, we’ve never had this amount of data presented so openly for the American people to view.

It strikes me as incredible that groups like the Freedom Foundation of Minnesota are complaining about minor inaccuracies in the data. FFM’s complaint is that recovery.gov shows spending and job figures for non-existent congressional districts in Minnesota. And it’s true — 0.3 percent of the data from Minnesota appears to be improperly attributed to incorrect congressional districts. This is a tiny mistake, yet a mistake nonetheless, and one that I’m sure will eventually be cleaned up. The irony, though, is that FFM can only complain about the data in the first place because of the Obama administration’s unprecedented commitment to make it available to us in real time.

Better late than never

The Minnesota House of Representatives has agreed to get involved in the lawsuit on Tim Pawlenty’s unallotments:

The Rules Committee of the Minnesota House of Representatives has approved resolution R19a which allows for a brief of amicus curiae to be filed supporting a lawsuit challenging budget unallotments made by the administration of Governor Tim Pawlenty.  An amicus curiae brief, also known as “friend of the court,” is filed by a group which has a strong interest in the legal matter and offers information to assist the court in its deliberations.

“Members of the Minnesota House feel strongly that we need to address the important issues raised by this case,” said House Majority Leader Tony Sertich.  “The plaintiffs are arguing that the governor did not follow the law when he resorted to unallotment in this instance.  We believe it is important that the court understand we agree with that argument.” [TPT]

Well, it’s about time. The legislature should have been involved in the lawsuit from the beginning as the Governor’s power grab gives him legislative powers nearly on par with legislators themselves. This is a major constitutional issue: The balance of power must be restored. I know the Republicans don’t see this in their current position, but the lawsuit is as important to them as it is to Democratic lawmakers. One day, the positions will be switched, with a Democratic governor and Republican legislature. At that time, I can guarantee you that the Republicans will want the law settled on just how much legislative power our Governor has.

Obama to tackle deficit; is his timing right?

Politico reported last week that Barack Obama intends to “focus extensively on cutting the federal deficit in 2010.” I know Obama is very concerned about the deficit, and I’m glad of that. Our soaring debt over the past eight years did a lot of damage to American economic strength, and that needs to be corrected.

All the same, Obama needs to be careful of his timing; it would arguably be worse to roll back our deficit too soon than too late. Yes, we have a record-setting deficit today, one that was even higher than the deficits we ran under Bush. But it’s crucial to consider the context — our present-day deficit is the result of major spending initiatives in an effort to stimulate the economy. Obama did not like the idea of running up such a large deficit, but given the alternatives, it was better than letting the employment situation get even worse than it is today. Now he needs to be careful not to pull back on Federal spending too fast.

Over at MyDD, Charles Lemos gives a quick history lesson on Japan’s lost decade:

Prime Minister Hashimoto in 1996 on the first whiff of recovery from Japan’s then half decade long downturn became hell-bent on reducing the budget deficit. The result was an economic catastrophe with GDP falling from a 4.4% growth to a -1.9% decline in the space of a year. The collapsing economy resulted in plummeting tax receipts, nearly doubling the size of the deficit. Japan’s fiscal deficit went from ¥18 trillion to ¥38 trillion over two years. Imposing fiscal discipline too soon prolonged Japan’s misery and it cost Prime Minister Hashimoto his job in July 1998.

I know there’s a lot of political pressure to reduce the deficit, and it’s a good thing that it’s front and center on Obama’s radar. But we need to wait to cut back spending until it makes economic sense, not political sense. Better to have political unrest than economic catastrophe.

Franken gaining Minnesotans’ trust

After such a nasty and contentious election, whoever won was going to have a lot of work to do to gain the support of Minnesotans. As Al Franken pointed out several times soon after the election, he was very much aware that over half of all Minnesotans voted against him.

In the few months he’s been in the Senate so far, he has been a diligent worker, and his approval rating is slowly starting to rise. Here are the findings of a recent Rasmussen poll:

Fifty percent (50%) of the state’s voters approve of the job performance of Franken who took office in July after months of legal wrangling over the election results with his Republican predecessor Norm Coleman. Twenty-four percent (24%) strongly approve of the job he is doing.

Forty-five percent (45%) disapprove of how Franken is doing, with 29% who strongly disapprove.

Not a stellar approval rating, of course, but a step in the right direction for Franken, who won with about 42 percent of the vote. I have a lot of confidence that Franken’s approval rating will slowly but surely continue to rise as Minnesotans see the good work he’s doing.

Finally, action on overdraft fees

I just wrote about the issue of overdraft fees a couple of days ago, particularly the problem of banks allowing debit transactions that customers don’t have the money to cover, then charging hefty fees. Well, it turns out that piece was pretty timely, as the Federal Reserve has finally enacted new rules that will curb overdraft excesses:

The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced final rules that prohibit financial institutions from charging consumers fees for paying overdrafts on automated teller machine (ATM) and one-time debit card transactions, unless a consumer consents, or opts in, to the overdraft service for those types of transactions.

Before opting in, the consumer must be provided a notice that explains the financial institution’s overdraft services, including the fees associated with the service, and the consumer’s choices.

Hooray for the Fed! This has been a long time coming, and it will go a long way toward ending some outrageous banking practices.

GOP finally has a reason to thank the media

The media — Fox News excluded, of course — is a favorite target of the Republican party. Sometimes, though, the media can be a force for good, even as far as the Republicans are concerned. After all, if Politico hadn’t discovered that the RNC’s insurance policy has covered elective abortions for the past 18 years, the RNC wouldn’t have known to immediately opt out of that provision.

I can’t possibly put it any better than Blue Man:

Republicans are complaining about reading 1900 pages of a health care bill but then failed to read their own RNC insurance policy for 18 years?

I thought unallotment was supposed to fix the budget crisis

After nearly 7 full years with Tim Pawlenty as Governor, Minnesotans are asking: If Tim Pawlenty is so fiscally responsible, then why does this sort of thing keep happening?

The state of Minnesota’s financial picture looks so bleak that top officials are considering a rare move: Borrowing money to make sure the state can pay its bills next year.

Tom Hanson, commissioner of Minnesota Management and Budget, told a legislative subcommittee Thursday that the slow recovery could trigger general fund shortfalls in the spring significant enough to warrant short-term borrowing for the first time in a quarter-century. The state’s tax collections are already $223 million lower than officials predicted.

Pawlenty’s unallotments, draconian as they were, still won’t be enough to right the state’s budget on their own. The balanced budget passed by the DFL would have raised additional revenues, but of course we all know what happened to that. Now, as so often seems to happen under Pawlenty’s tenure, we’ll be borrowing to fund the Governor’s irresponsibility with the budget.

I often compare Pawlenty’s budgeting to a family relying on their credit card. This time, our borrowing is going to be akin to a payday loan — a short-term, high interest loan that could cost the state a lot. The Star Tribune reminds us of how much it cost last time the state had to do this sort of borrowing:

In the early 1980s, the state borrowed $1.66 billion over four years, which ultimately socked taxpayers with $124.2 million in interest payments.

Folks, I just don’t know what it’s going to take for us to get serious about our budget and fix these problems once and for all.

Obama: Get me rewrite

I have a feeling that those on the right will disagree, but I have an enormous amount of respect for a decision Barack Obama just made concerning Afghanistan: He decided that none of the options he was being presented were acceptable, and asked military advisers to revise them. The AP reports:

WASHINGTON - President Barack Obama does not plan to accept any of the Afghanistan war options presented by his national security team, pushing instead for revisions to clarify how and when U.S. troops would turn over responsibility to the Afghan government, a senior administration official said Wednesday.

the president raised questions at a war council meeting Wednesday that could alter the dynamic of both how many additional troops are sent to Afghanistan and what the timeline would be for their presence in the war zone, according to the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss Obama’s thinking.

Military officials said Obama has asked for a rewrite before and resisted what one official called a one-way highway toward war commander Gen. Stanley McChrystal’s recommendations for more troops.

It’s easy for me to imagine the right calling Obama a coward over this, or an America-hater, or any one of the sundry attacks reserved for our President. But to me, this is Obama doing exactly what we hired him for — weighing all of the options with a critical eye, and demanding that his advisors give him some outside-the-box solutions.

MAPE to Endorse…

The scoop on the streets is that PIM’s got it right and MAPE will be endorsing Margaret Anderson-Kelliher for Governor today at 11.

So far there have been a few endorsements but many of them have been of the favorite son/daughter variety.  The Nurses endorsed Paul Thissen (chair of Health Care and Human Services), the Carpenters endorsed Tom Bakk, the Steelworkers endorsed Tommy Rukavina, and womenwinning endorsed Anderson-Kelliher.  And well… AFSCME’s endorsement of Mark Dayton was so out there it makes me consider whether or not I wish to continue being a dues-paying AFSCME member.

With AFSCME’s endorsement basically ceding any input into the DFL endorsment I think MAPE’s approach is going to be trying to separate the wheat from the chaff, and provide as much of an influence on the DFL Endorsement has AFSCME had provided previously.

As well, if this is true MAK will be picking up another superdelegate in Kendal Killian, MAPE’s political director, and my lifelong nemesis.

MAPE is the largest professionals union in the state with 12,700 members.

Edit: It’s official. MAPE endorses MAK.