People across Minnesota as well as the country are receiving dishonest attacks against Barack Obama and in some cases getting recorded messages on their voicemail and answering machines. Huffington Post, Politico, Talking Points Memo and other organizations are covering this and it is now hitting local blogs such as MNspeak.
The calls are nasty and the legality of the calls are being questioned.
Who’s behind these? FLS Connect. The same FLS that stands for Tony Feather, Jeff Larson and Tom Synhorst. Jeff Larson, being the same Jeff Larson that’s Norm Coleman’s buddy and landlord. The same friend that gives him the exorbitantly cheap rent, the same friend that paid his utilities, the same friend that has an FLS Connect office in the same basement as Coleman’s bedroom, the same friend that lobbied to bring the RNC to Saint Paul, the same friend’s wife that worked in Coleman’s office and the same friend that Coleman spent over a million on to help run his campaigns.
Now Minnesotans are receiving what are likely the most negative political phone calls they have ever received in their lives from whom is arguably Norm Coleman’s best friend.
Before the speakers hit the stage, a crowd of pro-Obama supporters began a protest rally in the Gander Mountain parking lot, but were asked to leave by Hermantown police.
Police Chief Mike Anderson said the group was first asked to leave by Gander Mountain officials, but the group refused. After the police asked them to leave the protesters went up to the entry way of the store.
Obama supporter Mary Anderson said they were initially asked to leave by someone wearing a Coleman shirt.
“He said someone from the store told us to leave,” she said.
Chris Hill, who was supporting Obama for the Carpenter’s union, said he felt Gander Mountain was wrong to ask the group to leave.
“[The Palin rally] was a public rally and the public was invited,” he said. “We were doing a peaceful protest.”
Patrick Radzak was with a group of Teamsters for Obama, which were holding black and yellow signs.
“A Coleman supporter said your signs are the wrong color and so is your candidate,” he said. “I told him that’s why we’re here.”
Over on that other site some guy reported that Todd Palin’s visit to the north country has triggered a reaction by the DFL and the Obama campaign — don’t get it twisted, Ray Schoenke is a great advocate for Barack Obama and he can respond to the concerns that some rural voters have over the Obama campaign.
But, Schoenke’s presence won’t be the one Republicans will worry about, nope, Hillary Clinton’s will be.
Hillary’s coming to the Range on Tuesday!
And just as a reminder of what Hil can do, here’s her convention speech from Denver.
Our survey is not, by any means, a scientific poll of all economists. We e-mailed a questionnaire to 683 research associates, all we could track down, of the National Bureau of Economic Research, America’s premier association of applied academic economists, though the NBER itself played no role in the survey. A total of 142 responded, of whom 46% identified themselves as Democrats, 10% as Republicans and 44% as neither. This skewed party breakdown may reflect academia’s Democratic tilt, or possibly Democrats’ greater propensity to respond. Still, even if we exclude respondents with a party identification, Mr Obama retains a strong edge—though the McCain campaign should be buoyed by the fact that 530 economists have signed a statement endorsing his plans.
… The detailed responses are bad news for Mr McCain (the full data are available here). Eighty per cent of respondents and no fewer than 71% of those who do not cleave to either main party say Mr Obama has a better grasp of economics. Even among Republicans Mr Obama has the edge: 46% versus 23% say Mr Obama has the better grasp of the subject. “I take McCain’s word on this one,” comments James Harrigan at the University of Virginia, a reference to Mr McCain’s infamous confession that he does not know as much about economics as he should. In fairness, Mr McCain’s lower grade may in part reflect greater candour about his weaknesses. Mr Obama’s more tightly managed image leaves fewer opportunities for such unvarnished introspection.
Michael Grunwald has a very entertaining and insightful article up on Time titled “Oh, the Drama! McCain in the Theater of the Absurd.” The article chronicles the insanity and absurdity that has been the McCain campaign over the last week. Like I said, it’s a very entertaining column and a pretty quick read, but for the impatient, here’s the punchline:
On Friday, though, McCain realized it probably wasn’t in his interest to let Obama have the stage to himself, so he announced that he was going to debate after all, since the stalled negotiations were now on track, although in fact the on-track negotiations were now stalled, but whatever. By the time he left Washington — some Democrats suggested this was no coincidence — the negotiations seemed to un-stall. The bailout now appears to be back on track for next week, and at the debate, McCain suggested that he supports it. The wacky events of the week went unmentioned, and McCain made a strong case for himself as the candidate of adult leadership. Which, if you’ve been paying attention to his campaign, is probably true if your idea of an adult is Terrell Owens, although Terrell Owens is at least capable of running in a straight line.
There is, of course, a serious point to all this mishigas. The last eight years may have been a geopolitical and economic disaster, but one thing they have not lacked is drama. They’ve been eight exhausting years, and when Obama talks about change, he’s implicitly talking about giving Americans a break, a timeout from grand history. It’s like those T-shirts during the primary: End the Drama — Vote Obama. McCain has tried to make a similar case in a different way, arguing that he’s steady and experienced while Obama is risky and dangerous. That case can get lost in his roller-coaster campaign.
I’ve always thought that the post-debate spin-o-rama on who won or lost a debate is incredibly silly, but for better or worse, it’s become a part of the whole debate process. But no matter what the pundits say (and they seem to call this one a draw favoring Obama), what’s most important is what the American people thought and here there’s no doubt Obama won. For example:
According to CBS News / Knowledge Networks’ poll of undecided voters: 40% of uncommitted voters who watched the debate tonight thought Barack Obama was the winner. 22% thought John McCain won. 38% saw it as a draw. 68% of these voters think Obama would make the right decision about the economy. 41% think McCain would. [CBS News / Knowledge Network Undecideds Give Debate To Obama] [via Ambinder]
That’s pretty brutal, and CNN’s poll of people who watched the debate turns up the same results:
Who Did the Best Job In the Debate?
Obama 51%
McCain 38%
Who Would Better Handle Economy?
Obama 58%
McCain 37%
Who Would Better Handle Iraq?
Obama 52%
McCain 47%
Personally, I thought it was pretty uneventful, but that played right into Obama’s hands. He was able to portray himself as a competent and in control leader. McCain’s performance was very passable, but his messaging seemed somewhat inconsistent and his tone often came across as petty and bitter (which was in no way helped by his stubborn refusal to even glance in Obama’s direction). But, like I said, who cares what I or anyone else thinks; when it comes to election day it’s just you and a ballot alone together in a booth. (which is why the above numbers are such good news)
And I now have more foreign policy experience than Sarah Palin.
The transcript from last night’s interview with Katie Couric:
Katie Couric: You’ve cited Alaska’s proximity to Russia as part of your foreign policy experience. What did you mean by that?
Sarah Palin: That Alaska has a very narrow maritime border between a foreign country, Russia, and, on our other side, the land-boundry that we have with Canada. It’s funny that a comment like that was kinda made to … I don’t know, you know … reporters.
Couric: Mocked?
Palin: Mocked, yeah I guess that’s the word, mocked.
Couric: Well, explain to me why that enhances your foreign-policy credentials.
Palin: Well, it certainly does, because our, our next-door neighbors are foreign countries, there in the state that I am the executive of. And there…
Couric: Have you ever been involved in any negotiations, for example, with the Russians?
Palin: We have trade missions back and forth, we do. It’s very important when you consider even national-security issues with Russia. As Putin rears his head and comes into the air space of the United States of America, where do they go? It’s Alaska. It’s just right over the border. It is from Alaska that we send those out to make sure that an eye is being kept on this very powerful nation, Russia, because they are right next to, they are right next to our state.
The transcript doesn’t do her bumbling, half rambling tirade justice, the video is at the bottom of the page here. I can do nothing other than shake my head, I’m just flabbergasted — really this is the best you’ve got John?
Picking her to be your running mate isn’t America first, it’s McCain’s campaign first.
John McCain announced today amid the roaring that is his vacuous campaign that he would suspend his campaign and get to work to help broker a deal on the bank bailout. This is one of the more amazing stunts I’ve ever seen.
John McCain has said before that “The issue of economics is something that I’ve really never understood as well as I should.” He serves on the Senate committee for Commerce, Science and Transportation, and while it has the word commerce in it’s title it has nothing to do with credit, housing and financial services. John McCain has missed 64% of all the votes in the United States Senate this year, where was his leadership then?
So Senator McCain, before we go along with this little bit of kabuki theater, how about you tell us what you can actually do to help the situation? What do you have to offer?
Just to go a little further, this morning at 8:30 Barack Obama called Senator McCain “to ask him if he would join in issuing a joint statement outlining their shared principles and conditions for the Treasury proposal and urging Congress and the White House to act in a bipartisan manner to pass such a proposal.” Senator McCain schemed for 6 hours, called him back and said “Sure!” and then announced this stunt.
That’s not country first. That’s McCain first.
How about you show up on Friday and try to show the American who will be the right person to lead them for the next four years, and leave the stunts to someone else, yeah?
Under the pressure of the financial crisis, one presidential candidate is behaving like a flustered rookie playing in a league too high. It is not Barack Obama.
Channeling his inner Queen of Hearts, John McCain furiously, and apparently without even looking around at facts, said Chris Cox, chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, should be decapitated. This childish reflex provoked the Wall Street Journal to editorialize that “McCain untethered” — disconnected from knowledge and principle — had made a “false and deeply unfair” attack on Cox that was “unpresidential” and demonstrated that McCain “doesn’t understand what’s happening on Wall Street any better than Barack Obama does….
To read the Journal’s details about the depths of McCain’s shallowness on the subject of Cox’s chairmanship, see “McCain’s Scapegoat” (Sept. 19). Then consider McCain’s characteristic accusation that Cox “has betrayed the public’s trust.”
“Off with his head!” isn’t a good leadership style. Barack Obama has shown the level headed leadership and patience necessary to handle a crisis — John McCain is bouncing around from failed attack, to failed attack. Barack Obama has shown who is the real grown up here, and John McCain has shown that all those concerns about his temper and judgment are well founded.
In a controversial move sure to upset millions of people, Barack Obama’s campaign has decided to forgo the traditional time-wasting distribution of chum (yard signs, bumper stickers, etc.) to try and win the election.
Settling on what they call a “get voters to register by approaching them on the phone and at the door with an army of volunteers” strategy, Obama’s senior staff has directed state, regional, and local field organizers to use their finite time to make tangible progress toward winning.
Yeah, as I was saying. Give the article from 538 (one of my daily reads) a read.
For every twelve voters who you talk to at their doors, one voter goes and votes who would not otherwise have voted. If you’re asking: “how can I be most effective in helping my candidate win the election?” then an organizer’s answer is going to be: knock on doors.….
Let’s do a little math. 12 face-to-face contacts is one new voter who would not have otherwise voted that you personally generated. You just doubled your own vote by speaking at the door to twelve voters. Of course, then it comes down to contact rate — how often is the person home that you’re trying to reach. A very low contact rate is probably 10%, and that happens. A very high contact rate can be 50%. Average is in the 25% ballpark. On average, you’d have to knock on 48 doors to generate 12 face-to-face contacts and one additional vote. 48 doors is a pretty standard, approximate walk list.
That is why $2000 spent on an organizer is better spent than $2000 on a batch of lawn signs.
There is work to be done, Ash Madia, Steve Sarvi, Al Franken and Barack Obama all need your help, and your help needs to come in direct voter to voter contact. Lawn signs don’t vote, but people do. Go Get Some!
Yesterday, the much vaunted McCain-Palin ticket rolled into the Twin Cities. Team McCain has been crowing for weeks about how Palin’s addition to the GOP ticket has generated a massive increase of enthusiasm among the Republican faithful. Apparently, McCain-Palin rallies have generated record crowds all across the country (although, media reports have revealed that the McCain campaign has exaggerated their crowd counts).
Well, John McCain did draw a large crowd to his rally up in Blaine yesterday - something in the neighborhood of 10,000 people. Not bad. But you want to know what is really impressive? The Obama counter-rally at Peavey Plaza, which did not feature either Barack Obama OR Joe Biden (or even a state-wide elected official) drew 3,500 people! (Added by Aaron: …and it was only announced two days in advance!)
That, my friends, is a first rate example of the enthusiasm gap in this election - a big reason why Obama is going to carry Minnesota and win the election in six weeks.
People Are Shouting
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