Ignoring state debt, Pawlenty proposes state subsidies for a new Viking stadium

Minnesota has a $1.2 billion shortfall for this year, and that’s on top of $6 to $8 billion in the coming biennium. So it makes sense that our governor would be talking about new ways to earn revenue. Except that he’s not talking about using it to ease the deficit; he’s proposing that it go to pay for subsidizing a new Vikings stadium. Pawlenty suggested that we could raise funds from new lottery games to help pay for a new stadium.

My favorite part was when he all but acknowledged that there were better uses for that money:

Although 40 percent of those funds — $ 8 million — is constitutionally dedicated to an environmental trust fund, “the other $12 [million] can be used for other stuff. People will say it should go into schools or roads or whatever, but … that’s another way to do [the stadium].”

Yeah, I’d be one of those people who would say it should go into “schools or roads or whatever.” We are hemorrhaging money right now, so much so that we’re taking it from our schools to keep the state financially solvent. It would seem to me that before we could talk about new revenues going to pay for anything, we need to pay our schools the money we’ve taken from them. I know that people don’t want to lose the Vikes, but can anyone justify taking money from our schools and then using new revenues not to pay them back, but to build a professional football stadium?

Let’s have a showdown on health reform

It’s time to finally make Republicans in the Senate put up or shut up and force them into what would essentially be a filibuster.

First, a little bit of background. The leading plan for health reform since the Democrats lost their Senate seat in Massachusetts has been to have the House simply pass the Senate bill exactly, so another vote wouldn’t be required in the Senate. Then, certain changes could be made through the budget reconciliation process, which requires only 50 votes. Now, however, The Hill reports that Senate Republicans have figured out a procedure for stalling even the reconciliation process:

Though it has never been done, Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) says he’s prepared to test the Senate’s stamina to block the Democrats from using the process to expedite changes to the healthcare bill.

Experts on Senate procedural rules, from both parties, note that such a filibuster is possible. While reconciliation rules limit debate to 20 hours, senators lack similiarconstraints on amendments and could conceivably continue offering them until 60 members agree to cut the process off.

The article concludes that without 60 votes to cut off debate, the Democrats would be unable to pass the bill. However, I disagree. As David Waldman points out, Republicans would be required to stay on the Senate floor, continually proposing amendment after amendment. If they stopped at any point, debate on the bill would expire. In other words, this would be a good old-fashioned filibuster — except tougher, because the Republicans wouldn’t even really be able to make speeches, they’d just need to keep proposing amendment after amendment. So I say let’s do it. Let’s force them to stand in front of the American people and offer hundreds of useless amendments. It’s time we had our showdown.

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Regular posting will resume tomorrow

Sorry for my absence over the past week; I’ll be back to posting more regularly tomorrow.

Thoughts on the straw poll results

Very early this morning, nothing has changed from Matt’s last update. I’d like to add a few thoughts on the results that are in so far.

First, all I have to say about the results on the Republican side is that sometimes I envy the Republicans. They’re now down to two candidates, with a clear frontrunner in Marty Seifert. Man, is that going to be a lot easier to narrow down than the DFL’s options. Once again, the GOP will have their choice early while the DFLers attack each other going into the primary.

On the DFL side, a few thoughts:

  • This looks like a big win for RT Rybak. I don’t know if the percentages will hold, but with 77.04% reporting, he’s on top with 21.8% of the vote. Going into the straw poll, all the discussion was how much MAK would win by, so if Rybak can hold on, it will be a bit of an upset. Perhaps more importantly, MAK has to worry about her performance during the legislative session, while all Rybak has to worry about is campaigning. (And, you know, governing Minneapolis, but given our weak mayor system that’s unlikely to get in the way too much.)

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MAK & Rybak Neck-in-Neck w/ Almost 80% of Precincts Reporting [Updated x1]

I’m not going to attempt to update this regularly—that’s what the SoS’s site is for—but here’s where we’re at with 47.3% of the precincts reporting the straw-poll results:

Alright, fine, one more update before I go to bed.  This is with 77.02% of precincts reporting:

Candidate Totals Pct Graph
TOM BAKK 1290 6.13
MATT ENTENZA 1444 6.86
SUSAN GAERTNER 441 2.09
STEVE KELLEY 878 4.17
MARGARET ANDERSON KELLIHER 4216 20.03
JOHN MARTY 2052 9.75
FELIX MONTEZ 17 0.08
TOM RUKAVINA 1517 7.21
R.T. RYBAK 4589 21.80
OLE SAVIOR 21 0.10
PAUL THISSEN 1541 7.32
UNCOMMITTED 3045 14.46

Sure is interesting so far…

Pre-slumber preliminary thoughts:  Straw polls aren’t worth much.  After all, there’s a long way and a lot of steps between here and the convention (not to mention here and the general).  Big things can happen—momentum can shift, scandals can surface, unions can endorse, and all that fun jazz.  So, the most important thing to remember is to take anyone’s analysis (especially mine) with a huge grain of salt—no one knows how this will end up just because a straw poll of approximately 25,000 party activists was conducted.  All that being said, there is one pretty glaring take away from the results tonight: Rybak and MAK are the main events. It’s surprising how big the drop off is to 3rd place and how crowded the bottom is.  Does that mean the field will thin and the race for the endorsement will coalesce around those two?  Almost certainly not.  But it does mean that they get all the attention from being the two front runners—and I guarantee that not all of that will be good attention.

I get the feeling that the shivs are going to start coming out… please, please, please, prove me wrong.

On Minnesota Matters tonight: Publius Radio!  Tune in at 6 PM to AM 950 to listen to yours truly spout off about the SCOTUS campaign finance ruling (Professor David Schultz will be joining me to add some actual expertise) and discuss caucus night expectations with MNpublius’ very own Zack Stephenson.  As always, tune into AM 950 or point your browser here to listen online.

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Guv Fundraising Updates: Emmer, Anderson, and Dayton, Oh My!

I have a few updates on gubernatorial fundraising this afternoon and instead of dribbling the out piece-meal, I think I’ll just go through them rapidfire.  First up: Tom Emmer

Republican Tom Emmer has finally released his fundraising numbers and it’s now apparent why it has taken him so long — these are miserable.  To be fair, he raised a somewhat respectable total of $114,852 in 2009, but he spent $79,312 of it!  (I’ll do the math for you: that only leaves him with $19,154 on hand)  Given that his main opponent, Marty Seifert, raised $262,753 and has $133,072 in cash on hand, things don’t look to good for the E-Dog… Bottom line: Seifert has nearly 7 times the resources of his nearest opponent.

Next up: Pat Anderson.  Sure, she dropped out of the race, but these fundraising numbers may finally reveal why:  her Gubernatorial campaign ended the year over $30K in the hole!  A press release from State Auditor Rebecca Otto’s campaign dishes the details:

Anderson’s Gubernatorial campaign fared worse.  She raised just $29,659, which included a personal loan of $3,250, but she spent $65,596, ending the year with $39,174 in unpaid bills.

For those interested, Anderson’s new Auditor campaign has only $149 on hand…

And then we have Mark Dayton. For anyone who thought the former United States Senator wasn’t serious about this race, think again.  Mark Dayton loaned his campaign $570,000!  What’s more, he raised $72,000 in donations for a total of $641,821 in 2009!!  But what’s more, he only has $16,772 left in the bank!!!  Meaning he spent well over $600,000 on his gubernatorial bid last year!!!!  Alright, I’m out of exclamation points.  For those who remember, Dayton spent $12 million on his Senate race in 2000.

One’s thing for sure folks:  This is going to be one rip-roarin’ roller coaster!

The 2010 Gubernatorial Fundraising Cheat-Sheet has been updated with the above PLUS new information from Entenza, Gaertner, Kelley, and John Marty.

Woman tries to get married for health care

It’s pathetic, to put it mildly, the hoops through which our system requires people to jump just to keep themselves healthy. And people with pre-existing conditions, such as Terri Carlson, have it worst of all. Carlson is currently counting down the time until she loses her eligibility for COBRA, at which point she will have absolutely no access to health insurance because she has C4 Complement Deficiency, a rare immune disorder. Carlson is just one of millions of people in the private insurance market who are denied insurance precisely because they need it so much.

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Caucus Night Predictions (UPDATED)

A few other Twin Cities bloggers have made predictions about the DFL Caucus preference ballot and I didn’t want MN Publius to be left out.  Our predictions are after the jump, but please bear in mind that the process of making these predictions was more similar to playing a game of “guess how many jellybeans are in the jar” than any kind of real political prognostication.  I hope you’ll leave your own predictions in the comments.

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GDP grew by nearly 6 percent in the fourth quarter

The recovery is now well underway, it appears. The Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated on Friday that Real Gross Domestic Product grew by 5.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, which is the fastest rate of growth since mid-2003.

So where are the jobs? They’re coming. In the language of economics, jobs are a “lagging indicator” — meaning that the economy has to be steadily and consistently improving before employers are willing to hire. But job losses have tailed off, and we should begin to see some job growth, although probably meager, this year.

A caveat needs to be made here, as well. First, a significant portion of the GDP growth we saw in the last quarter was likely driven by Federal spending measures that are still in place. We need to resist the urge to reduce spending now that the economy is “fixed.” It isn’t necessarily fixed, and we could easily still slide back into another slump. In fact, the Senate should pass the jobs bill passed by the House to pump additional money into the economy.

Overall, things are looking hopeful, but it’s going to take a long time for a full recovery. In part, that’s because we haven’t had a “real” economic recovery in a long time — we’ve replaced one bubble with another, and our economy hasn’t been based on us actually producing useful goods and services in over a decade. For a truly sustainable recovery, we need to start producing again — and that’s going to take some time.

Pawlenty Fundraises For Candidate Who Retweeted Racial Slur

Last week, we reported that David Carlson, a candidate for the State Senate in Eagan, had retweeted a tweet containing a racial slur directed at President Obama.  It turns out that just two weeks later Governor Tim Pawlenty hosted a fundraiser for Carlson. According to Carlson’s website, Pawlenty appeared at a $100/person event for Carlson on January 11.  I wonder what Tim Pawlenty thinks of David Carlson’s twitter habits?

Supreme Court Rejects Emmer’s Amicus Brief

Tom Emmer’s gubernatorial campaign has been gaining momentum in recent days.  Emmer, who has been challenging front-runner Marty Seifert from the right, secured the endorsement of former Senator Rod Grams and State Representative Laura Brod.  Not everything, however, is going so well for Team Emmer.

Emmer made news early last week by announcing that he would file an amicus brief in the unallotment case with the Minnesota Supreme Court.   Sadly, at least for Emmer, the Minnesota Supreme Court doesn’t accept briefs from just anyone and when the Court released the list of parties whose briefs they wanted to read on Thursday, Emmer hadn’t made the cut.  I can’t say I blame them - I’ve been refusing to listen to Emmer for years. The court accepted briefs from the City of St. Paul, the City of Minneapolis, The Minnesota House, The League of Women Voters, Common Cause, The League of Minnesota Cities and a couple of law professors and gave no explanation for why they rejected Emmer’s brief.

Still, the slight is especially unfortunate considering that Emmer (who is an attorney by profession) has long been rumored to be interested in running for Attorney General. In fact, rumors that Emmer might switch to the AG race have been intensifying in recent weeks.  But you have to ask yourself just how effective an Attorney General he would be considering he couldn’t even write a brief interesting enough to compete with the League of Women Voters.

Proof of the Democrats’ colossal communications failure

I wrote last week that the Democrats should be making a stronger case against Republican obstruction in the Senate:

If the Democrats want to get anywhere, it’s time for them to make Republican obstruction the issue. Stop capitulating, stop sacrificing your agenda. Get a spine and use your massive majorities and Obama’s bully pulpit and demand that Republicans do some actual work for a change.

In case the anecdotal evidence wasn’t enough, a new Pew Public Knowledge Poll shows that only 32 percent of Americans even know that Republicans refused to support health reform. If that’s not serious proof of the Democrats’ communication failure, I don’t what is.

It’s not too late to turn this around, but the Democrats are running out of chances. Right now, they have one of their best chances in a while. After Obama’s State of the Union, they have what is perhaps their final opening to start making a bigger issue out of Republican obstruction. Will they take it? Given their history, I sincerely doubt it.

Spirit and Opportunity: Our best investments in science in a long time

Six years ago, we launched two Mars rovers, Spirit and Opportunity, on a 90-day mission to collect data about conditions on Mars. They’re still going. Or rather, Opportunity is still going, and scientists are looking for ways to turn the stuck Spirit into a stationary laboratory; it can’t move, but it can still do science. That announcement was made on day 2213 of Spirit’s 90-day mission.

Every few months, after reading a report about one of the rovers, I marvel that they’re still going. In the span of their original 90-day mission, the rovers contributed immeasurably to our knowledge about Mars. They then proceeded to stretch their lifespan by 24 times their original mandate, and they haven’t stopped yet.

Below the break, as a Friday distraction, don’t miss webcomic xkcd’s take on the Spirit rover.

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GOP State Senate Candidate Retweets Inappropriate Tweet

David Carlson is a Republican running for the Minnesota State Senate in Eagan.  Carlson is pretty active on twitter, particularly during Vikings games, but he might want to be a little more careful before hitting “update.”  Last month Carlson retweeted a tweet that included a racial slur directed at President Obama. A screen shot of the tweet is available after the jump (but please be warned that the tweet does contain a racial slur and may be NSFW).  Carlson has removed the tweet from his twitter feed.

If that weren’t bad enough, Carlson decided to throw some rocks in his glass house, using twitter to publically criticize fellow Republican State Senate candidate Mike Parry for his (nearly identical) twitter troubles.  Parry, while a candidate for the State Senate seat vacated by Dick Day, got in some hot water for writing that President Obama was a “Power Hungry Arrogant Black Man” and subsequently scrubbing the tweet (and forty others) from twitter.  Carlson responded by tweeting: “Good thing Team Carlson does not condone such behavior on twitter.” Carlson appears to have had second thoughts about this tweet as well, as it also has been removed.  Fortunatley, a loyal reader has preserved the tweet for posterity and it is also available after the jump.

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